Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.059897 1.205161 1.363419 1.548697 1.759758 1.992818 2.269858
2025-12-14 0.803366 0.992843 1.217244 1.502893 1.857325 2.283314 2.835228
2025-12-21 0.669339 0.876332 1.136086 1.486566 1.948156 2.536818 3.347036
2025-12-28 0.599787 0.823262 1.117323 1.533546 2.109309 2.880385 3.996136
2026-01-04 0.523866 0.748816 1.057130 1.511890 2.168179 3.085038 4.470508
2026-01-11 0.481105 0.713224 1.043240 1.548433 2.305913 3.405344 5.133230
2026-01-18 0.437176 0.669884 1.011927 1.553518 2.394329 3.657955 5.716408
2026-01-25 0.393729 0.621917 0.967732 1.532596 2.438134 3.843498 6.210056
2026-02-01 0.353323 0.574067 0.918248 1.496961 2.452867 3.981577 6.636908
2026-02-08 0.318711 0.531740 0.872882 1.462334 2.463802 4.111332 7.058096
2026-02-15 0.297876 0.509766 0.857889 1.475353 2.553216 4.375359 7.727726
2026-02-22 0.275671 0.483235 0.832614 1.467861 2.605613 4.579338 8.309307
2026-03-01 0.248401 0.447739 0.792842 1.438663 2.630438 4.761047 8.915487
2026-03-08 0.221518 0.410616 0.747374 1.396121 2.629884 4.903520 9.479219
2026-03-15 0.202054 0.384713 0.718938 1.380979 2.676976 5.136057 10.238018
2026-03-22 0.192548 0.376339 0.721654 1.424552 2.840079 5.603966 11.512444
2026-03-29 0.176240 0.353015 0.693488 1.404467 2.874881 5.824254 12.309345
2026-04-05 0.167766 0.344239 0.692524 1.438360 3.021870 6.283589 13.657908
2026-04-12 0.156975 0.329582 0.678253 1.443077 3.108126 6.626050 14.794527
2026-04-19 0.144870 0.310917 0.653875 1.423672 3.140285 6.856578 15.709394
2026-04-26 0.132717 0.290901 0.624676 1.390620 3.138598 7.012670 16.472122
2026-05-03 0.121835 0.272559 0.597244 1.358502 3.135241 7.163928 17.240233
2026-05-10 0.115525 0.263758 0.589735 1.370578 3.234371 7.557952 18.635186